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Fact or Fiction: Second-half predictions for Giants

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The Giants.com crew is presented with four statements and must decide whether they are Fact or Fiction.

The Giants' defense will finish the season ranked first in sacks.

John Schmeelk: Fiction – The Giants do not play with enough leads to sustain their league-leading pace. Their rush defense will also lead to opponents attempting fewer passes, which should limit sack opportunities. They have one more sack than the Broncos, who have 35. Four other teams are within six sacks of the Giants and two (the Chargers with 31 and Vikings with 30) have only played nine games. The Giants will finish in the top five, just not in the top spot.

Dan Salomone: Fact – Leading through 10 weeks is a pretty large sample size. While they are no longer on pace to break the 1985 Giants' franchise record of 68 – the 2024 team is on track for 61 – there's no reason to think they can't finish the season on top of the NFL this year.

Matt Citak: Fiction – The pass rush has been the biggest bright spot of the defense this season, but after a torrid start, the unit has slowed down in recent weeks. Playing from behind has contributed to that. Meanwhile, the defense is allowing a league-high 5.3 yards per carry. Both of these factors put opponents in less obvious passing situations, which in turn makes it more difficult for the Giants to continue their early season sack pace. While I still believe the Giants will be among the league-leaders in sacks, I don't know if they will finish No. 1.

The Giants will have two players with double-digit sacks for the first time since Justin Tuck and Osi Umenyiora in 2010.

John Schmeelk: Fact – They might have three. Dexter Larence is just one sack away from double digits, leaving little doubt he will get there. With the way Brian Burns is playing, he is only four away from 10 and there's no reason to think he won't be able to get there. Burns has been consistently impactful this season. Whether Azeez Ojulari, currently with six, will get there depends on when Kayvon Thibodeaux may get back, which could limit his playing time. I feel very good about two getting there.

Dan Salomone: Fact – It has happened seven times in franchise history since sacks became an official statistic in 1982.

1985: Leonard Marshall (15.5), Lawrence Taylor (13), George Martin (10)

1986: Lawrence Taylor (20.5), Leonard Marshall (12)

1997: Michael Strahan (14), Robert Harris (10)

1998: Michael Strahan (15), Chad Bratzke (11)

2005: Osi Umenyiora (14.5), Michael Strahan (11.5)

2007: Osi Umenyiora (13), Justin Tuck (10)

2010: Justin Tuck (11.5), Osi Umenyiora (11.5)

2024 (through 10 games): Dexter Lawrence (9.0), Brian Burns (6.0), Azeez Ojulari (6.0)

Matt Citak: Fact – Dexter Lawrence needs just one sack to reach double digits for the first time in his career, which seems likely to happen over the final seven weeks of the season. As for the second player to hit 10 sacks, it will probably come down to Brian Burns and Azeez Ojulari. Kayvon Thibodeaux is nearing a return, which means Ojulari's playing time is going to take a hit. That leaves Burns, who picked up his sixth sack of the year against the Panthers but could have had an even bigger day. Burns tied a career-high with seven pressures on Sunday, including four pressures under 2.5 seconds, according to Next Gen Stats. Four sacks in the final seven games is within reach if the talented edge rusher can stay healthy.

Rookie RB Tyrone Tracy Jr. will finish the season as the team leader in yards from scrimmage.

John Schmeelk: Fact – The Giants have run the ball fairly consistently over the past few weeks and Tyrone Tracy Jr. has been a big part of that. He is rattling off chunk plays on a consistent basis and has become the bell cow for the Giants. He will learn from the two mistakes last week that led to an interception and fumble and continue to be a focal point of the offense. After a fast start, Nabers has slowed a bit. While his volume of catches and targets is still high, we are seeing fewer explosive plays for now. Tracy just beats him out.

Dan Salomone: Fact – Tracy has four games of 100+ scrimmage yards in his six games as the primary back. Not bad for a converted wide receiver taken in the fifth round.

Matt Citak: Fact – Despite being used sparingly throughout the first four weeks of the season, Tracy currently has 57 more yards from scrimmage than anyone else on the team heading into the bye. Even when the offense has struggled at times this year, the run game has continued to perform well.

Rookie WR Malik Nabers will have the third 100-catch season in Giants history.

John Schmeelk: Fact – Nabers needs to average just six receptions per game the rest of the way to get to 100. In his eight games this season, he is averaging over 7.5 catches. Since returning from injury, he is averaging 6.5 catches per game, so I think he will get there. As a bonus, I also think Nabers will get to 1,000 receiving yards. Malik Nabers is averaging just about 75 receiving yards per games in his eight appearances this year. He has 607 receiving yards, which means he needs to net out 393 in his final seven games to reach 1,000. It means he only needs to average 56 yards receiving per game the rest of the way.

Dan Salomone: Fact – It's pretty incredible to think it has happened only twice in the previous 99 seasons. Steve Smith has the franchise record of 107 receptions in 2009, and Odell Beckham Jr. is second with 101 in 2016. Nabers joins the club in the franchise's 100th campaign.

Matt Citak: Fact – With seven games remaining, Nabers needs 39 more receptions to reach the 100-catch mark. This comes out to just over 5.5 receptions per game. The Buccaneers, Saints, Ravens, Falcons, and Colts, five of the Giants' six remaining matchups, all find themselves in the top 10 for most passing yards allowed per game this season. It could be a big end to the season for the No. 6 overall pick.

View photos of the Giants' 2024 rookie class in their first NFL season.

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