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Fact or Fiction: Translating college success; veteran vs. rookie QB

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The Giants.com crew is presented with four statements and must decide whether they are Fact or Fiction.

The quarterback who starts the most games for the Giants in 2025 will be a veteran.

John Schmeelk: Fact – This is a very difficult question since we don't know who the veteran quarterback could be. If we are talking about one of high-end veterans, I would say fact. But there is no guarantee the Giants are going to be able to acquire any of those veteran players via free agency or trade. If the Giants aren't able to acquire one of those quarterbacks, I assume they would take a quarterback with their third overall pick and roll with him. But at this juncture, I would bet the Giants obtain some kind of veteran in free agency and he is the starter next year.

Dan Salomone: Fiction – As we debate this with a month to go until free agency, the responsible response is that it's way too early to tell. But where's the fun in that? For me, the correct answer here might just be the simplest. The Giants' top priority is to find the quarterback of the future, and they hold the third overall pick.

You would rather draft a quarterback with a higher floor and lower ceiling than vice versa.

John Schmeelk: Fiction – You want to aim for ceiling when you are drafting a quarterback. You don't accomplish much by obtaining the guy who's going to be the 18th-best quarterback in the league. It might get you a respectable record in the regular season, but any real chance of making it to a Super Bowl is slim. You want the player that has a real chance of being a top five quarterback. Good luck properly identifying that guy but that should undoubtedly be the goal.

Dan Salomone: Fiction – Free agency is the better avenue for the higher floor argument, but when you're drafting the most important position in sports – especially near the top of the order – you need the highest possible ceiling in mind. You don't take that quarterback if you can't envision him leading your team to the mountaintop, even if there are some bumps along the way.

NFL Media analyst Daniel Jeremiah released his initial ranking of the top 50 prospects in the 2025 NFL Draft.

In terms of success, wide receiver has become the most translatable position from college to the NFL.

John Schmeelk: Fiction – I am going to go with running back. It is an instinctual position that depends on physical traits and vision, which are usually translatable and independent of the system. There could be a situation in college where an offensive line is so dominant that a back's stats far exceed his skills, but that's something your scouts should see.

Dan Salomone: Fact – Look no further than what Malik Nabers just did. As a rookie, he broke the franchise's single-season catch record and turned in the ninth-highest total for receiving yards. Keep in mind, that includes 100 seasons of the franchise. It's remarkable what these receivers can do early in their careers. The same thing is happening at the college level. Jeremiah Smith, anyone?

There will be movement in the top three of the draft order.

John Schmeelk: Fiction – Dan, can we wait for these questions until after the combine and free agency so we have a better feel for what these teams look like, please? No? Fine. I'll stay on my theme that the NFL is not super high on the top of this quarterback class, and no one will be willing to pay the ransom necessary to entice the Titans and Browns to move out of their top spots. The Raiders might make me look bad here, but I'll stick with this for now.

Dan Salomone: Fact – I always know I've done a good job when Schmeelk tells me he likes the "Fact or Fiction" statements after I send them each week. He did not do that for this edition. Fair enough. It's early. But you know one thing that's not hard to predict whether it's a day or two months before the draft? Teams need quarterbacks and will move up to get them. It's an April tradition unlike any other.

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