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Fact or Fiction: Monday Night Football Edition

FACT-OR-FICTION

The Giants.com crew is presented with four statements and must decide whether they are Fact or Fiction.

Generating explosive plays is the top priority for the Giants' offense on Monday night.

John Schmeelk: Fact – Explosive plays lead to touchdowns, and touchdowns win football games. The Giants have not had one play over 15 yards the past two weeks and have managed just 10 points in eight quarters of football. The Steelers' defense is excellent down to down, especially against the run. It will be very difficult to sustain long, multi-play drives down the field given their 3.59 yards allowed per rush and a four-man pass rush featuring elite players like T.J. Watt, Cam Heyward and solid contributors like Keeanu Benton, Larry Ogunjobi, and Alex Highsmith. The Steelers' defense has shown some susceptibility to deep balls this year, allowing six completions of 30 or more yards (13th in the NFL) and 19 passes of 20 or more yards (tied-21st). The Steelers play single high safety coverage 70 percent of the time, so the Giants should have opportunities to win deep down the sideline if they can connect on those passes.

Dan Salomone: Fiction – You can't generate anything with your quarterback on the ground. In a post-Andrew Thomas world, the Giants will have their hands full again after giving up eight sacks last week. They had allowed just nine in the previous five games.

Matt Citak: Fact – One week after the offense's longest play went for 15 yards against the Bengals, the Giants' offense wasn't able to gain more than 14 yards on a single play against the Eagles. Improving in this area is a must heading into Monday night. If the offensive line can give Daniel Jones time in the pocket, the passing game has an opportunity to hit on some big plays down the field.

Stopping the run is the top priority for the Giants' defense on Monday night.

John Schmeelk: Fact – The Steelers run the ball at the second-highest rate in the NFL (53.2 percent of snaps). They want to run the ball with a downhill running game on early downs to set up the play-action and Russell Wilson's patented rainbow deep balls down the field. Najee Harris has run for 100 yards in consecutive games, and his backfield mate Jaylen Warren appears healthy. If the Giants can stop the Steelers' run game and turn them into a one-dimensional team, they should be able to control their offense.

Dan Salomone: Fact – The Giants, who are on pace to break the NFL single-season sacks record, want to force the Steelers into passing situations. They can do that by winning early downs, particularly against the run. Najee Harris is looking for his third consecutive game with 100 rushing yards and a touchdown, while the Steelers are 4-0 when they gain at least 125 yards on the ground.

Matt Citak: Fact – Even after the quarterback change from Justin Fields to Russell Wilson, the Steelers make it no secret that they want to run the football. They come into this game ranking second in the NFL with 235 rush attempts through the first seven games of the season, which comes out to 33.6 attempts per game. In Wilson's first start last week, the Steelers ran the ball 36 times. Slowing down Najee Harris, Jaylen Warren and the run game should be the defense's top priority. If they can do this successfully, it will put the pass rush in some good situations to get after Wilson.

View photos of the Giants on the practice field at the Quest Diagnostics Training Center.

Dexter Lawrence will break Aaron Donald's interior lineman sacks record of 20.5.

John Schmeelk: Fiction – Dexter Lawrence is as dominant a player as I have watched since I began covering the Giants in 2007. He cannot be blocked 1-on-1, but asking for 20 sacks from an interior pass rusher is a bit too far for me. Aaron Donald, aside from Lawrence Taylor, is one of the best defensive players in the history of the sport and even he only topped 13.5 sacks once. Can Dexter do it? Yes. It will also take a lot of luck. Lawrence's pressure rate is actually lower than it was last year, and only 0.3 percent higher than 2022. I'll bet against the luck.

Dan Salomone: Fact – He's getting double-teamed while fighting through lower body injuries – and still putting up these numbers. There's no reason to go "fiction" here.

Matt Citak: Fiction – Lawrence has gotten his season off to a dominant start with nine sacks through seven games, already topping his previous career-high of 7.5 sacks. But when you add in the fact that Lawrence is facing the highest double-team rate any player has seen in years, it's hard to see him continuing at such a torrid pace. If Lawrence can get to even 15+ sacks this season, it would likely go down as one of the most dominant performances from an interior defensive lineman.

Pittsburgh has the best opposing defense in the NFL.

John Schmeelk: Fiction – The Steelers rank 10th in defensive DVOA, sixth in EPA allowed per play, and 14th in defensive success rate. They are good but not the best. Teams like the Vikings (yes, even after Thursday night), Broncos, Bears and Chargers are all probably better. Few teams take the ball away better than the Steelers, who are second in turnover ratio (+9) this season and tied for third with nine interceptions. The Giants are going to have to protect the ball if they want a chance to win Monday night.

Dan Salomone: Fact – The Steelers have allowed the fewest points in the NFL since Mike Tomlin took over in 2007. It's a mindset for them. "There's a style in which they play with that is physical and aggressive," coach Brian Daboll said. "I've got a lot of respect for how they've done things for a long time ever since I've been in the league, just getting ready to play them. Well-coached, play tough, play physical, have a style that they play with, and then the atmosphere is one of the best when you go there and play at their stadium. Tough place to play and a very tough opponent."

Matt Citak: Fact – The Steelers come into this game with the No. 2 scoring defense in the NFL, with only one opponent having scored more than 20 points against them this season and only two with more than 15 points. They sport the league's No. 4 red zone defense, the No. 2 rushing defense, and rank fourth with their 13 takeaways, including five games with multiple turnovers. And all of this production has come with Alex Highsmith, their talented edge rusher that lines up opposite Watt, playing in only four games. With the talent they have at every level, the Steelers currently have the best defense in the NFL.

View photos of the history between the New York Giants and Pittsburgh Steelers.

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