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Fact or Fiction: Forecasting NFC East race

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The Giants.com crew is presented with four statements and must decide whether they are Fact or Fiction.

A rookie will lead the Giants in either receiving yards or interceptions this season.

John Schmeelk: Fiction – In Wink Martindale's man-heavy coverage scheme it is very difficult to get a lot of interceptions for cornerbacks (which is where the rookies will get the most playing time) since their backs are so often facing the quarterback when the pass is released. A much better bet is one of the team's

safeties leading the team in interceptions, and don't expect a rookie to get the majority of the snaps there. There is a much more realistic chance that Jalin Hyatt leads the Giants in receiving yards thanks to his big-play ability. He has been a consistent over-the-top threat throughout the summer, and has been getting more and more looks with the first team. But don't be sure he takes enough snaps away from Darius Slayton, Isaiah Hodgins and Parris Campbell to lead the team in receiving yards.

Dan Salomone: Fact – Buy all the stock you can in the rookie duo of Deonte Banks and Tre Hawkins III. It seemed like just an experimentation when the Giants rolled them out on the first team with Adoree' Jackson moved to the slot. But, as defensive coordinator Wink Martindale said this week, "Right now, those are our three best corners."

Lance Medow: Fiction – The strongest candidates to meet those labels are Jalin Hyatt, Deonte Banks and Tre Hawkins because they will make the 53-man roster and receive plenty of opportunities on the field. Hyatt has a lot of competition at his position as well as tight end Darren Waller to contend with in the passing game. Assuming Daniel Jones will spread the wealth, it will be difficult for Hyatt to lead the team in receiving yards, especially if he'll be relying on the deep ball as a significant means of his production. Banks and Hawkins could very well start alongside Adoree Jackson, but let's lean toward a safety leading the team in interceptions such as Xavier McKinney, Jason Pinnock or Dane Belton, who finished tied for the team lead with Julian Love in 2022. Corners don't get a lot of interceptions in Wink Martindale's system because of the coverage. That's why a safety is a much better bet.

Matt Citak: Fiction – Jalin Hyatt has a chance to lead the Giants in receiving yards this season, while Deonte Banks or Tre Hawkins III could finish with the most interceptions on the team. However, those rookies will fall just short of those accomplishments. On the offensive side of the ball, Darren Waller has to be the favorite to lead the Giants in receiving yards. As for the team-lead in interceptions, that would likely require a longer discussion. However, go with Dane Belton, as the second-year safety has looked great during training camp and could be primed for a possible breakout campaign.

Four rookies will start at least nine games this season.

John Schmeelk: Fact – You should feel very confident that Deonte Banks, Tre Hawkins and John Michael Schmitz will all start at least nine games this year. So, much like in the first answer, return to Jalin Hyatt, who should earn his way on the field for nine starts by the end of the season as the Giants search for more explosive plays in

the offense and injuries naturally crop up from other players at the position.

Dan Salomone: Fiction – Remember, starts can be deceiving in the NFL because they depend on what packages they roll out on the first play of the game. If this was about four rookies seeing a significant number of snaps, it would be fact. Let's pump the brakes on the start totals for now. It's a long season.

Lance Medow: Fiction – Deonte Banks and John Michael Schmitz are locks as starters but after that it becomes much more difficult to project. Tre Hawkins has a good chance to be in the corner rotation and being on the field for the first play of the game nine times could be feasible, but we still need one more player to accomplish that feat and you may not see one. Jalin Hyatt will carve out a role but given the volume of receivers and tight ends, it doesn't mean he'll start more than half of the season. Eric Gray will likely be the main return man but that position doesn't count toward starters, so he and the other rookies seem unlikely to enter that territory. Three is doable but four is pushing it.

Matt Citak: Fact – If this question had been asked a month ago, the answer would have easily gone the other way. Deonte Banks and John Michael Schmitz figure to start at their respective positions from the start of the season, while Jalin Hyatt could fight for a starting spot sooner rather than later. But it's been the performance of Tre Hawkins III that has really opened eyes this summer. The sixth-round pick has played so well that the Giants are considering the idea of starting veteran Adoree' Jackson in the slot with the two rookie corners on the outside. Hawkins still has a ways to go, but so far he has done just about everything necessary in order to secure a spot in the starting lineup.

View the best photos of all the action at the Giants' 2023 training camp.

The NFC East, as a whole, is stronger on offense over defense.

John Schmeelk: Fiction – This is close, but give the edge to the defense. It is very clear Washington's defense is superior to its offense, and the gap between those two units is bigger than any other teams in the division. The Eagles' offense is better than their defense, but the Cowboys' defense is superior to their offense and the spread between those two units cancels out. That leaves the Giants,

whose units are far closer to one another than Washington, which gives the lean to the defense in the division. Give a slight edge to the Giants' defense over their offense, which means the only team in the division with a better offense is the Philadelphia Eagles.

Dan Salomone: Fact – The NFC East boasted the Nos. 2 and 3 scoring offenses in the NFL in the Eagles and Cowboys, who trailed only the league-leading Chiefs. And where did Kansas City's offensive coordinator go this off-season? Washington. Meanwhile, as we've talked about all off-season, the Giants' production should only increase in Year 2 of the system.

Lance Medow: Fiction – The NFC East makes a strong case for both sides of the ball as all four teams have impressive defensive fronts and playmakers on the back end. The main question mark in the division on offense is Washington with Sam Howell taking over the reins under center. He's only started one game in his career and is now learning a new scheme orchestrated by Eric Bieniemy. Given that unknown and the offense being dependent on the play of the quarterback, go with the defenses being stronger than the opposite side of the ball.

Matt Citak: Fiction – If the NFC East only consisted of the Eagles, Cowboys and Giants, then this would have been a much tougher decision. Philadelphia and Dallas had two of the best offenses in the NFL last season, while the Giants figure to be much improved in Year 2 in their offensive system. But due to the Commanders, lean toward the division's defense. Washington finished 24th in points and 20th in yards last year, while their defense ranked seventh in points allowed and third in yards. With Sam Howell under center, their offensive numbers may not get any better.

Top to bottom, the NFC East will be the toughest division in the conference.

John Schmeelk: Fact – It is not very close, either. Three NFC East teams made the playoffs last year - with Washington hanging tough to the very end of the season. All the records in the division will likely suffer this year because they have to play the AFC East rather than the AFC South, but no division other than the NFC East has a chance to feature at least three teams with a real chance to win nine or more games. It will be a gauntlet of a schedule for all the teams in the division, but their overall talent is still the best in the conference.

Dan Salomone: Fact – The key word here is "bottom," which is higher than the other division's floors. Then again, who knows? The NFL changes completely year over year, especially in the NFC East. We'll see if we eat these statements in five months.

Matt Citak: Fact – Frankly, this one isn't even close. The NFC East is not only the toughest division in the conference, but it's quite possibly the toughest division in the entire NFL. Every team in the NFC East finished at .500 or above last season, with the Commanders coming in fourth with an 8-8-1 record. The Eagles are the reigning NFC Champions, while the Cowboys are coming off a 12-win season. The Giants roster is undoubtedly more talented than last year's, and an argument could be made for the same being true with the Commanders. The only other division in the NFL that could contend with the NFC East for the title of toughest division is the AFC East.

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