The Giants.com crew is presented with four statements and must decide whether they are Fact or Fiction.
The Giants will have at least four sacks for the fifth consecutive game.
John Schmeelk: Fiction – As the Giants keep compiling more sacks, their pressure rate each week is actually going up, showing there is a better chance that their sack rate continues along its league-leading pace. The Commanders have allowed 18 sacks, which is tied for 12th fewest. Five of those 18, however, came against the Giants in Week 2. The Commanders haven't allowed more than three sacks in any other game this year. Jayden Daniels has more answers in the offense than he did in Week 2. Combine the advancement in what Kliff Kingsbury is calling with Daniels' mobility and I don't think the Giants get him down in the backfield more than three times.
Dan Salomone: Fact – They have done so in six of their eight games so far. Logic would say they might slow down at some point, but they keep answering the bell. The Giants got to Jayden Daniels five times in the rookie's second career start. If the Giants can do this, they would become the fifth team in the past 20 seasons with at least four sacks in five consecutive games, joining the 2022 Philadelphia Eagles, 2015 Denver Broncos, 2014 Buffalo Bills, and 2008 Dallas Cowboys.
Matt Citak: Fiction – The Giants' pass rush has been on fire this season with a league-leading 35 sacks. While I expect them to apply plenty of pressure on Jayden Daniels, I'm not sure they'll reach four sacks. The Giants got to Daniels for five sacks in Week 2, but the rookie quarterback has not been sacked more than three times in any other game this season. Daniels has also scrambled a league-high 14 times when blitzed this season, which shows the rookie quarterback won't hesitate to tuck the ball and run if he starts to feel pressure, which likely will hurt the Giants' chances of reaching four sacks.
Containing Jayden Daniels on the ground is the top priority for the Giants' defense.
John Schmeelk: Fiction – I'm not sure Daniels is going to be limited in his desire to run with his rib injury, but even if he slides more often than not, he can still beat teams on the ground. Given the issues the Giants had in containing the quarterback run game against Seattle and Cincinnati, it will be a priority but not the top one. The Giants have not been able to contain the traditional run game the last two weeks, and Brian Robinson is a similar back to Najee Harris last week. The Commanders want to run the ball first and foremost, so slowing down Robinson on early downs will be their top priority.
Dan Salomone: Fact – Nothing is more disheartening to a defense – or a pass rush in particular – than getting pressure on a quarterback only to have him escape and make a big play. And for special ones like Daniels, that big play can be a run or pass after extending the down.
Matt Citak: Fact – Just look at the last stat I included in the previous prompt. Once he begins to feel pressure, Daniels will take off as a runner, something he has had plenty of success doing so far this season. The rookie quarterback is averaging a whopping 53.0 rushing yards per game, 5.7 yards per rush attempt, and has four touchdowns on the ground alone. Daniels leads the Commanders with 13 rushes of 10 or more yards on just 74 total attempts, meaning he gains 10+ yards on the ground on 17.6 percent of his runs. Slowing down the No. 2 overall pick on the ground has to be the top priority for Shane Bowen's defense.
View photos of the Giants on the practice field at the Quest Diagnostics Training Center.
Replicating explosive plays from Monday night is the top priority for the Giants' offense.
John Schmeelk: Fact – Explosive plays lead to touchdowns, and touchdowns win games. Penalties limited their touchdowns off some of their explosive plays on Monday night, but given the Giants' generally strong penalties numbers this season, I would not expect that to happen again. The Commanders play a lot of Cover 2 to prevent big pass plays (tied for ninth-fewest passes of 20+ yards, but when you catch them in man to man, which teams have to play on third down, there should be opportunities for big plays down the field.
Dan Salomone: Fiction – It's still about avoiding sacks. Monday night's game in Pittsburgh turned when the Steelers broke through in the third quarter. Daniel Jones wasn't sacked until back-to-back plays to end the first possession of the second half. Jones had been 11 of 16 for 141 yards (8.81 yards per attempt) with two completions of 35+ yards in the first half. After that, he was 13 of 22 for 123 yards (5.59 yards per attempt).
Matt Citak: Fact – As we saw against the Steelers, even the threat of explosive plays down the field helps open everything else up in the offense. Daniel Jones connected with both Darius Slayton and Theo Johnson on passes 20+ yards downfield, with the pass to Slayton coming on the Giants' first offensive drive. I don't think it's a coincidence that the Giants then went on to have their best game on the ground in weeks. Tyrone Tracy Jr. added to the explosive plays with four runs of 10+ yards, including his impressive 45-yard touchdown run. When a defense has to respect the threat of a deep ball, it opens up the run game and short/intermediate routes in the passing game. One or two deep shots early against the Commanders would likely go a long way in helping the offense replicate its ability to move the ball down the field that we saw Monday.
Malik Nabers will have 100 yards receiving for the second time against Washington.
John Schmeelk: Fact – The Commanders' biggest weakness on their roster is in the secondary. They do not have anyone that can cover Nabers 1-on-1, and I think the Giants will try to take advantage of that matchup as often as they can. If the Commanders play softer coverage, the Giants will be happy to pepper him with short passes to navigate the ball slowly up the field.
Dan Salomone: Fact – The rookie's 83 yards after catch in his first trip to Washington remains 10th-most in a single game in the NFL this season. That's his path to 100 total on Sunday.
Matt Citak: Fact – The Commanders' defense has looked a lot better in recent weeks than it did against the Giants in Week 2, but that's not going to make much of a difference when it comes to slowing down Malik Nabers on Sunday. The rookie caught 10 passes for 127 yards and a touchdown in the first meeting between the two teams, and while his numbers have been down a bit over the last two games, Nabers is still averaging over 12 targets per game this season. While the Commanders' cornerbacks have limited opposing receivers for the most part over the last five weeks, they haven't faced a wide receiver quite like Nabers. The 21-year-old will top 100 yards receiving for the third time this season and will also find the end zone for the first time since Week 3.